* Soviet Union unaffected by depression=deemed economic rival + alternative system (communism) to capitalism bec the capitalist world economy collapsed (inter-war Depression)
* Trade cycle-fluctuations (boom and slump as familiar and it was excepted to repeat itself every 7-11 years. Marx believed that bec of this capitalism would choke on itself, the system would collapse
* GLOBALIZATION: accelerating technological progress, continuous economic uneven growth.
* Globalization=every country's economy depends on the other in a international global market
* Technology which allowed for the spread of European and Am culture
* It failed to erase nationalism (born in opposition to it)Extreme nationalism in the Middle East, China? It failed in the Eastern Hemisphere.
* Globalization of economy stagnated during inter-war years although there were new states created out of WWI which should have allowed for more interstate commerce.
* Between 1927-33 economic stagnation:
The largest world national economy US was getting self sufficient, never been dependent on foreign trade and other countries showed the same trend like Britain (self-sufficiency) each state wanted to protect their economy.
* Stronger labor unions: rising productions costs via higher wages
* Japan and the Anglosaxon world did what they could to deflate (stable currencies and gold standard)
* Germany's currency value reduced to zero
* Private savings disappeared creating a vacuum of working capital for business
* Massive reliance of German economy on foreign loans (US)very vulnerable with the slump
* Europe was made ready for fascism?
* US farmers worried bec prices of primary products turned down again (roaring 20s not such for the Farms of the US)
* Falling of primary prices demonstrated that the demand for them could not keep pace with the capacity to produce.
* Germany borrowed lost of money which made her very vulnerable when the American money was withdrawn. The shock produced in this country paved the way for Nazism (they were fertile for communism but wanted to preserve their capitalist economy, they were very nationalistic and communism tended to be universal/worldwide.
* When the stock market fell US economy and German one fell and prostrated the countries listed by the League of Nations whose international trade depended on a few primary commodities.
* For farmers dependent on the export market this meant ruin, they tried to compensate buy growing and selling more crops but this made prices sink further
* Only Nazi Germany succeed in eliminating unemployment between 1933-1938
* a solution was sought on he left or right
LONG TERM CONSEQUENCES:
* The Slump destroyed economic liberalism for half a century
* The gold standard was abandoned
* GB abandoned Free Trade
* Governments were forced to give social considerations priorities over economic ones in their state policies (danger not do to so as radicalization of the Left and of the Right as in Germany were too menacing)
* Tariffs were raised even higher
* elimination of unemployment became key according the KEYNES:
the demand which incomes of fully employed workers must generate would stimulate economy
Criticized the Versailles Treaty by saying that without a restoration of a German economy a restoration of a stable liberal civilization and economy in Europe was not possible. Keeping Germany feeble was counterproductive. The French wanted to feel secure from Germany but they were too weak to impose their policy. IN 1923 they occupied the Industrial Heartland of West Germany on the excuse they were refusing to pay.
* The French wanted Germany to pay in cash rather than goods out of current production or out of the income from German exports which would have strengthened her economy.
* Germany was forced into borrowing from the US loans massive.Germany run into deep debt.Her imports soared
* also bec mass unemployment was believed to be politically and socially explosive so
* Installation of modern welfare system (prophylactic measure)
* USSR was engaged in ultra rapid massive industrialization in its new 5 Year Plans under Stalin, its industrial production tripled (1929-1940). It had no unemployment.
* This impressed the world bec of the collapse of Western Capitalism
* Social democratic parties adopted "plans". (Hitler introduced its 4 years plan)
* WWI had benefited US economy as after WWII, became the dominant economy, reinforced its position as the world's greatest industrial producer and the world's greatest creditor-main international lender.
* US was the premier exporting and importing nation= principal victim of the Slump
* CAUSES IN EUROPE:
* Payments imposed on Germany "reparations"
* war guilt clause (gift to German nationalism=Hitler)
* US proposed fixing Germany's payments according to the country's capacity to pay
* France insisted on recovering the entire cost of the war (wanted to keep Germany weak)
* Reparations gave way to endless debates and crises bec the US wished to link the questions of German's debts to that of their won wartime debts to Washington (British and French debts)
* All payments ceased in 1932 for practical purposes (German and Allied)
* THE WORLD SYSTEM DID NOT WORK BECAUSE: imbalance in development between USA and rest of the world and unlike GB US did not need the rest of the world and did not act as a global stabilizer.
* The US after WWI needed to import less capital, labour and fewer commodities and her exports made a small contribution to the national income
* SECOND PERSPECTIVE ON THE DEPRESSION:
* failure of the world economy to generate enough demand for a lasting expansion.
* mass demand could not keep pace with the rapidly increasing productivity of the industrial system the result was overproduction and speculation which in turn triggered off the collapse.
* consumer credit was greatly expanded and customers did not use their loans to buy traidtional mass consumption goods (food, clothing)instead they bought the durable consumer goods of the modern consumer society (cars, houses) which have a high income elasticity of demand
* the new products required high and expanding levels of income and high degree of confidence about the future.
* POLITICAL EFFECTS
* Countries moved to the right (Japan, Germany, Italy, Br) nationalistic, conservative, isolationist. On the Moderate Left the US (socialist progressiveness assisting ppl. Scandinavia: socialist democracy, stage in between capitalism and communism.
* Radical right reinforced during Slump
* International communist movement outside USSR became feeble
* increased anti imperialist activity ec the collapse of the commodity prices on which colonial economies depended and the metropolitan countries rushed to protect their agriculture and employment without regard if the effect of policies on colonies.
* Colonies: social discontent out of the crisis of local export crops
* old fashioned liberalism seemed doomed and there were 3 options: Marxist communism, capitalism that no longer relied on free markets and their optimality married to moderate social democracy, and FASCISM which the slump transformed into a world movement and danger (National Socialism in Germany or Nazism)
* Nazism benefited from German intellectual tradition hostile to theories of economic liberalism and from a ruthless gov determined to get rid of unemployment at all costs.
* Was born as a counterpart of communism, a countermovement to communism to protect their private property